RESEARCH DESK
Evidence. Context. Limits.
Short original briefings built around publicly available primary sources. Each separates the source finding from our planning interpretation.
GLOBAL OUTLOOK
Different horizons, different decisions.
Source: World Economic Forum · 14 January 2026
Source finding
The World Economic Forum’s 2026 report distinguishes immediate concerns from two-year and ten-year outlooks. It identifies geoeconomic confrontation as a leading near-term concern.
Our planning interpretation
Use the horizon to frame the question: immediate continuity, medium-term dependencies, or long-term adaptation. Avoid combining these into a single unsupported score.
Keep the limitation in viewThe report captures expert perceptions. It does not predict the probability or loss severity of an event at your organisation.
Read the original source →BUSINESS RISK
Concern is a starting point for investigation.
Source: Allianz Commercial · 14 January 2026
Source finding
Cyber incidents lead the Allianz Risk Barometer 2026, with artificial intelligence ranked second. These are responses to a business risk survey.
Our planning interpretation
Translate a high-level concern into a specific dependency, scenario and accountable owner. Test the evidence behind your own exposure before deciding on a control.
Keep the limitation in viewA survey ranking is not an event likelihood. Do not enter its response percentages as probabilities in the planner.
Read the original source →PHYSICAL RESILIENCE
Look beyond the affected site.
Source: Aon · 20 January 2026 (report file date)
Source finding
Aon’s 2026 climate report discusses weather-related disruption and the role of adaptation.
Our planning interpretation
Review how a physical event could affect access, utilities, suppliers and recovery capacity at the same time. Document which of these dependencies are shared.
Keep the limitation in viewA global report cannot determine a particular site’s exposure. The questions here are editorial planning prompts, not a hazard assessment.
Read the original source →DECISION PRACTICE
Connect the evidence to the decision.
Source: Moody’s · 2 June 2026
Source finding
Moody’s discusses a shift toward more continuous and connected risk assessment in banking.
Our planning interpretation
Give each scenario an owner, a decision date and assumptions that can be challenged. A transparent calculation is useful when the organisation understands what it leaves out.
Keep the limitation in viewThis is a provider’s perspective. The World Risk Center planner is an independent educational demonstration with no Moody’s data or models.
Read the original source →